NFL 2026 · watching every live game

Know the moment
you’re winning.

We price every NFL game before kickoff, write the call down, then watch it play. The moment one of our calls is strongly winning with the clock still running, you get told — while your sportsbook’s cash-out is still worth taking. Most people find out they were right after it stopped mattering. You find out while you can still act on it.

Every call published before kickoff and graded in the open — 79 settled at the World Cup, 76% hit. An alert is a probability, not a promise: we tell you where a game stands, you decide what to do about it. 21+ where permitted.

cacheout — call the game

Who won this one?2026 · real fixture

Pick a side. We'll show the real result and the price the board published before kickoff — then you can see who read it better.

Watch it fire

The moment we’d have told you.

Not a mock-up. A real game, replayed play by play against the same live model that runs in production — including the plays where it stayed quiet, because a lead on its own is not a reason to bank a bet.

Worked example · a real game

Commanders at Ravens

Before kickoff the board called Ravens at 59%. Here is what happened next.

  1. Q1 10:16Commanders 07 RavensRavens 78%+19pp

Alert sent — cash-out window open

“We called Ravens at 59% before kickoff. They are now 78% to win it. If you took that call, your sportsbook's cash-out is likely showing a strong number right now.”

Final: Commanders 341 Ravens.

Recomputed from the same live model that runs in production, against the real scoring plays of this game. An alert reports a position, not advice — cash-out happens at your sportsbook. 21+ where permitted.

The gridiron, priced live

This season's arena.

The NFL is the live season — every game, every week, priced by the model. The World Cup run is the proof it works.

Live · Season

NFL 2026

Live scores, win % / spread cover / total on every game, division standings and the full conference playoff seeding — priced all season long.

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★ Track record · Spain

World Cup 2026

79 predictions settled · 76% hit rate · +23% ROI. The model favoured Spain in the final — Spain won. Browse the settled archive.

View the archive
Soon

More sports

NBA, tennis and beyond — the same three-signal fusion engine and the same calibration.

Coming soon
The market isn't the only read

Two reads. Side by side.

CacheOut reads every game two ways and shows both, deliberately unblended. One is what the betting market thinks; the other is built only from results and has never seen a price. A single fused number would hide which of them was wrong — and being able to say which was wrong is the whole point.

Market

five books · Pinnacle included
de-vigged consensus

The sharpest crowd there is. We average the moneyline, handicap and total across every book quoting the game, then strip the margin out to recover the true price. Books start quoting roughly a day or two before kickoff, so this is the read that matters most when it matters most.

Power ratings

every completed game · always on
our own estimate

An Elo rating built from results alone — margin of victory counted, last season regressed towards the mean and carried forward, preseason weighted at a quarter because starters sit. It has never seen a price, which is what makes it a second opinion rather than an echo. Shown only where no book is quoting, and always marked as an estimate.

Market 52%·Power ratingsshown side by side, never blended — a market price and an estimate are different claims
76%
Accuracy
60–19 W–L · settled
+182.5u
Profit
on 790u staked
+23.1%
ROI
per unit staked
79
Settled
flat 10u / bet

Real WC2026 fixtures · consensus of 13+ books · every bet priced at its pre-match market and settled on the real score.

The whole season, one screen

Six modules. One source of truth.

Every tab pulls from the same market-priced engine — so the live board, the game predictions, the standings and the settled record all agree.

01

Scores

The full season — preseason through the play-offs — with live scores, the game clock and every kickoff, from API-Sports.

02

Market read

Once books start quoting a game — roughly a day or two out — we take the moneyline, handicap and total from five of them, Pinnacle included, and strip the margin out.

03

Power ratings

Games no book is quoting yet still carry a number: an Elo rating built from every completed result, last season regressed and carried forward. Marked est, never mixed with a market price.

04

Captured calls

Each call is written to the database before kickoff, and the closing line recorded separately. The database refuses a closing price once a game has started.

05

Standings

Conference and division records with the full 1-through-7 playoff seeding.

06

Track record

Every captured call settled on the real final score, scored by Brier — and the reconstructed ones labelled as such.

How the model prices a match

Consensus in. De-vigged truth out.

  1. 01

    Read the market

    Five books per game via API-Sports — Bet365, Pinnacle, Marathon, BetVictor, 1xBet — on the moneyline, handicap and total.

  2. 02

    De-vig

    Books price a market above 100%; that overround is their margin. Strip it and the probabilities are fair and sum to exactly 100%.

  3. 03

    Write it down

    The call is stored before kickoff, so the record is a record and not a reconstruction. The closing line is stored separately.

  4. 04

    Score itself

    Settled on the real final score and graded by Brier, where 0.250 is a coin flip. Published whether it flatters us or not.

Calibration, not hype

We publish our misses.

When the model says 70%, it should be right about 70% of the time. The calibration curve plots stated confidence against what actually happened — and we report the numbers either way.

Brier0.199
ECE16.6%
Samplen 79
Points near the diagonal mean stated confidence matched reality. Lower Brier & ECE are better.
Settled on real scores

The track record is the pitch.

Flat 10u / bet · consensus of 13+ books.

MatchPickOddsResultP&L
Austria v JordanAustria1.383–1+3.8
Portugal v Congo DRPortugal1.281–1−10.0
England v CroatiaEngland1.704–2+7.0
Ghana v PanamaGhana2.311–0+13.1
Uzbekistan v ColombiaColombia1.391–3+3.9
Czechia v South AfricaCzechia1.851–1−10.0

A sample of settled bets. The model flat-stakes its most likely outcome at the market price — measuring accuracy and variance, not an edge over the book.

The season is live. So is the model.

Every NFL game priced from the market and graded against the real result — win %, spreads, totals and the playoff race, all season.

Launch the NFL terminal

Here for the proof? Browse the World Cup archive →

termee.online

On the desk

Circoloco Radio 447

David Triana

Loads from SoundCloud when you press play — nothing of theirs runs on this page until then.

Frequently asked questions

Can I place a bet here?

No. CacheOut is not a sportsbook: it takes no bets, holds no funds and is not licensed to accept wagers anywhere. It reads the market and publishes what it thinks a game is worth. Anything you choose to do with that happens at a book you pick, under that book's rules.

Do you sell picks or tips?

No. Every number on the site is free to read and there is no paid tier, no Telegram channel and no pick package. The record is published whole, including the calls that lost, because a record with the losses removed is marketing rather than evidence.

Will following these calls make money?

Almost certainly not, and the site is built to make that checkable rather than to obscure it. The probabilities are bookmaker prices with the margin stripped out, so a bet struck at the fair price they imply breaks even in the long run by construction — and a real book prices below fair. The ledger on the results page shows both lines for exactly this reason: the calls that landed were worth a good deal, and backing all of them would still have lost money.

Where do the numbers come from?

Live bookmaker prices, averaged across every book quoting a game, with the overround removed so the outcomes sum to 100%. American football comes from API-Sports and golf from Data Golf. Nothing is hand-entered and no number on a board is chosen by a person.

What does 'captured' mean on a result?

The call was written to the database while the game was still unplayed, and the timestamp says when. It matters because the alternative — pricing a finished game from odds that outlive it — is honest but reconstructed, and you would have only our word that the number wasn't chosen once the score was known. Captured calls carry no such caveat, and the results page labels which is which rather than blurring them.

Why do some games show no price?

Because no bookmaker in the feed was quoting them when the board last looked. That is ordinary rather than broken, particularly in college football where the feed carries a minority of the slate. A game with no price gets no call and never enters the record, which is why the results page reports how much of the slate could be graded beside how much of it was called right.

What is a cash-out alert?

A published call that is now worth more in play than the price it was published at, while the game is still running — the only window in which a sportsbook's cash-out is worth taking. The alert reports that the window is open and what the position is worth. It does not tell you to take it, and it cannot take it for you.

Do I need an account, and what do you store?

The landing page, the method page and the results are open to anyone. The live boards sit behind a sign-in. An account is an email address and a password, and nothing else — the password is hashed inside the database and never reaches the application, and there is no name, no payment detail and no tracking profile.

How often does it update?

The boards re-read scores and prices continuously while games are on. Separately, a scheduled job drives the boards every half hour so that a call is recorded before kickoff whether or not anyone is looking — a record that depends on a visitor arriving is a record with holes in it.

Are you affiliated with the NFL, the NCAA or any sportsbook?

No. No league, team or governing body is involved in or endorses this site. Where a link to a sportsbook is paid, it is labelled as an advertisement at the link itself.