The record · CFB
Mississippi State at Minnesota: our pick
We called Mississippi State at 50%, locked Sep 12, 2:09 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Mississippi State 38–13 Minnesota. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 50% is the betting market's own price for Mississippi State: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
We have no graded calls on Mississippi State yet.
At 50%, a pick like this still loses about 50 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
No graded calls on Mississippi State yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State win chance | 50% | 50% |
| Mississippi State spread | +1.5 | +1.5 |
| Total | 55.5 | 55.5 |
- Pick locked: Mississippi State at 50%.
- Market closed with Mississippi State at 50%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Mississippi State 38–13 Minnesota. Right.
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