The record · CFB
UCF at Pittsburgh: our pick
We called Pittsburgh at 70%, locked Sep 12, 3:10 PM ET, less than an hour before kickoff.
Final: UCF 7–12 Pittsburgh. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 70% is the betting market's own price for Pittsburgh: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
We have no graded calls on Pittsburgh yet.
At 70%, a pick like this still loses about 30 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
No graded calls on Pittsburgh yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh win chance | 70% | 70% |
| Pittsburgh spread | -12.5 | -12.5 |
| Total | 56.5 | 56.5 |
- Pick locked: Pittsburgh at 70%.
- Market closed with Pittsburgh at 70%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: UCF 7–12 Pittsburgh. Right.
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