The record · CFB
UNLV at North Texas: our pick
We called UNLV at 59%, locked Sep 12, 3:06 PM ET, less than an hour before kickoff.
Final: UNLV 6–44 North Texas. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 59% is the betting market's own price for UNLV: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
We have no graded calls on UNLV yet.
At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
No graded calls on UNLV yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| UNLV win chance | 59% | 59% |
- Pick locked: UNLV at 59%.
- Market closed with UNLV at 59%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: UNLV 6–44 North Texas. Wrong.
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