The record · CFB
Iowa State at Iowa: our pick
We called Iowa at 82%, locked Sep 12, 3:10 PM ET, 4 hours before kickoff.
Final: Iowa State 13–16 Iowa. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 82% is the betting market's own price for Iowa: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
We have no graded calls on Iowa yet.
At 82%, a pick like this still loses about 18 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
No graded calls on Iowa yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Iowa win chance | 82% | 82% |
| Total | 40.5 | 40.5 |
- Pick locked: Iowa at 82%.
- Market closed with Iowa at 82%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Iowa State 13–16 Iowa. Right.
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