The record · CFB
North Dakota State at Air Force: our pick
We called North Dakota State at 53%, locked Sep 12, 3:05 PM ET, 6 hours before kickoff.
Final: North Dakota State 38–32 Air Force. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 53% is the betting market's own price for North Dakota State: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
We have no graded calls on North Dakota State yet.
At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
No graded calls on North Dakota State yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State win chance | 53% | 53% |
| North Dakota State spread | +1.5 | +1.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 47.5 |
- Pick locked: North Dakota State at 53%.
- Market closed with North Dakota State at 53%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: North Dakota State 38–32 Air Force. Right.
Fingerprint
e1d19b0f0376a9ba5e27228ef7abcd336a0ce758af6569139e44b6ff92d17b78