The record · CFB

Arizona State at Kansas: our pick

We called Arizona State at 64%, locked Sep 17, 10:41 PM ET, 37 hours before kickoff.

Final: Arizona State 24–17 Kansas. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 64% is the betting market's own price for Arizona State: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 0.3 points toward Arizona State.

We have no graded calls on Arizona State yet.

At 64%, a pick like this still loses about 36 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

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Entry #348 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →