The record · CFB

Troy at Missouri: our pick

We called Missouri at 94%, locked Sep 17, 10:41 PM ET, 44 hours before kickoff.

Final: Troy 17–27 Missouri. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 94% is the betting market's own price for Missouri: 5 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 0.0 points away from Missouri.

We have no graded calls on Missouri yet.

At 94%, a pick like this still loses about 6 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Fingerprint

d0f2805490c4e281fcdb8e82b7e98b2f7672c910a84bfff3f4538f89c29d6992

Entry #349 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →