The record · CFB
Temple at Toledo: our pick
We called Toledo at 66%, locked Sep 17, 10:41 PM ET, 40 hours before kickoff.
Final: Temple 48–49 Toledo. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 66% is the betting market's own price for Toledo: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.3 points toward Toledo.
We have no graded calls on Toledo yet.
At 66%, a pick like this still loses about 34 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
No graded calls on Toledo yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Toledo win chance | 66% | 66% |
- Pick locked: Toledo at 66%.
- Market closed with Toledo at 66%, 0.3 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Temple 48–49 Toledo. Right.
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