The record · CFB
Florida State at Alabama: our pick
We called Alabama at 86%, locked Sep 16, 4:02 PM ET, 2 days before kickoff.
Final: Florida State 36–50 Alabama. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 86% is the betting market's own price for Alabama: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 3.2 points toward Alabama.
Our last 1 graded call on Alabama: 1 right.
At 86%, a pick like this still loses about 14 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 1
- Alabama avg margin
- +28.0
Only 1 graded game on Alabama so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Alabama's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Alabama win chance | 86% | 89% |
| Total | 47.5 | 49.5 |
- Pick locked: Alabama at 86%.
- Market closed with Alabama at 89%, 3.2 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Florida State 36–50 Alabama. Right.
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