The record · CFB

UTEP at Michigan: our pick

We called Michigan at 98%, locked Sep 17, 10:54 PM ET, 40 hours before kickoff.

Final: UTEP 17–52 Michigan. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 98% is the betting market's own price for Michigan: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The market closed where we called it.

We have no graded calls on Michigan yet.

At 98%, a pick like this still loses about 2 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Fingerprint

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Entry #366 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →