The record · CFB
Stanford at Duke: our pick
We called Duke at 75%, locked Sep 17, 11:44 PM ET, 40 hours before kickoff.
Final: Stanford 7–35 Duke. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 75% is the betting market's own price for Duke: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.6 points away from Duke.
We have no graded calls on Duke yet.
At 75%, a pick like this still loses about 25 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
No graded calls on Duke yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Duke win chance | 75% | 75% |
| Duke spread | -10.5 | -10.5 |
| Total | 51.5 | 51.5 |
- Pick locked: Duke at 75%.
- Market closed with Duke at 75%, 0.6 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Stanford 7–35 Duke. Right.
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