The record · CFB
Mississippi State at South Carolina: our pick
We called South Carolina at 62%, locked Sep 18, 12:00 AM ET, 40 hours before kickoff.
Final: Mississippi State 41–34 South Carolina. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 62% is the betting market's own price for South Carolina: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.5 points away from South Carolina.
We have no graded calls on South Carolina yet.
At 62%, a pick like this still loses about 38 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
No graded calls on South Carolina yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| South Carolina win chance | 62% | 61% |
| South Carolina spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 58.5 | 58.5 |
- Pick locked: South Carolina at 62%.
- Market closed with South Carolina at 61%, 0.5 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Mississippi State 41–34 South Carolina. Wrong.
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