The record · CFB
Marshall at Missouri State: our pick
We called Marshall at 62%, locked Sep 17, 11:51 PM ET, 42 hours before kickoff.
Final: Marshall 30–24 Missouri State. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 62% is the betting market's own price for Marshall: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.1 points toward Marshall.
We have no graded calls on Marshall yet.
At 62%, a pick like this still loses about 38 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
No graded calls on Marshall yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Marshall win chance | 62% | 62% |
- Pick locked: Marshall at 62%.
- Market closed with Marshall at 62%, 0.1 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Marshall 30–24 Missouri State. Right.
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