The record · CFB

Florida at Auburn: our pick

We called Florida at 54%, locked Sep 17, 11:05 PM ET, 43 hours before kickoff.

Final: Florida 44–39 Auburn. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 54% is the betting market's own price for Florida: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 0.3 points away from Florida.

We have no graded calls on Florida yet.

At 54%, a pick like this still loses about 46 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Fingerprint

c6c94e04acc6a61a1efdeb74ae5c54aff309f1d6e3285dd6bfc1497f8e85c234

Entry #374 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →