The record · CFB
Georgia State at UCF: our pick
We called UCF at 87%, locked Sep 17, 10:41 PM ET, 44 hours before kickoff.
Final: Georgia State 30–44 UCF. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 87% is the betting market's own price for UCF: 6 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.3 points away from UCF.
Our last 1 graded call on UCF: 1 right.
At 87%, a pick like this still loses about 13 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 1
- UCF avg margin
- -5.0
Only 1 graded game on UCF so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: UCF's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| UCF win chance | 87% | 87% |
- Pick locked: UCF at 87%.
- Market closed with UCF at 87%, 0.3 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Georgia State 30–44 UCF. Right.
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