The record · CFB
UTSA at Texas: our pick
We called Texas at 94%, locked Sep 18, 12:20 AM ET, 43 hours before kickoff.
Final: UTSA 6–30 Texas. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 94% is the betting market's own price for Texas: 4 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.7 points away from Texas.
Our last 1 graded call on Texas: 1 right.
At 94%, a pick like this still loses about 6 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 1
- Texas avg margin
- +1.0
Only 1 graded game on Texas so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Texas's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Texas win chance | 94% | 93% |
| Total | 58.5 | 58.5 |
- Pick locked: Texas at 94%.
- Market closed with Texas at 93%, 0.7 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: UTSA 6–30 Texas. Right.
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