The record · CFB
James Madison at San Diego State: our pick
We called San Diego State at 53%, locked Sep 18, 3:35 AM ET, 42 hours before kickoff.
Final: James Madison 26–13 San Diego State. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 53% is the betting market's own price for San Diego State: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.
Our last 1 graded call on San Diego State: 1 right.
At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 1
- San Diego State avg margin
- -18.0
Only 1 graded game on San Diego State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: San Diego State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| San Diego State win chance | 53% | — |
| San Diego State spread | -1.5 | — |
| Total | 46.5 | — |
- Pick locked: San Diego State at 53%.
- Kickoff.
- Final: James Madison 26–13 San Diego State. Wrong.
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