The record · CFB
North Texas at Texas State: our pick
We called Texas State at 57%, locked Sep 17, 10:41 PM ET, 37 hours before kickoff.
Final: North Texas 35–49 Texas State. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for Texas State: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.3 points away from Texas State.
Our last 1 graded call on Texas State: 0 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 0%
- Calls graded
- 0 of 1
- Texas State avg margin
- -5.0
Only 1 graded game on Texas State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Texas State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Texas State win chance | 57% | 56% |
| Texas State spread | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Total | 63.5 | 62.5 |
- Pick locked: Texas State at 57%.
- Market closed with Texas State at 56%, 0.3 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: North Texas 35–49 Texas State. Right.
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