The record · CFB
Missouri State at SMU: our pick
We called SMU at 95%, locked Sep 25, 10:27 PM ET, 22 hours before kickoff.
Final: Missouri State 24–34 SMU. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 95% is the betting market's own price for SMU: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 2 graded calls on SMU: 2 right.
At 95%, a pick like this still loses about 5 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- SMU avg margin
- +18.0
Only 2 graded games on SMU so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: SMU's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| SMU win chance | 95% | 95% |
| Total | 59.5 | 59.5 |
- Pick locked: SMU at 95%.
- Market closed with SMU at 95%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Missouri State 24–34 SMU. Right.
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