The record · CFB
Iowa at Michigan: our pick
We called Michigan at 65%, locked Sep 23, 3:47 PM ET, 2 days before kickoff.
Final: Iowa 20–19 Michigan. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 65% is the betting market's own price for Michigan: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 1 graded call on Michigan: 1 right.
At 65%, a pick like this still loses about 35 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 1
- Michigan avg margin
- +35.0
Only 1 graded game on Michigan so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Michigan's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Michigan win chance | 65% | 65% |
| Michigan spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 32.5 | 32.5 |
- Pick locked: Michigan at 65%.
- Market closed with Michigan at 65%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Iowa 20–19 Michigan. Wrong.
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