The record · CFB
Wisconsin at Penn State: our pick
We called Penn State at 79%, locked Sep 23, 6:47 PM ET, 2 days before kickoff.
Final: Wisconsin 24–20 Penn State. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 79% is the betting market's own price for Penn State: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
We have no graded calls on Penn State yet.
At 79%, a pick like this still loses about 21 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
No graded calls on Penn State yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Penn State win chance | 79% | 79% |
| Total | 39.5 | 39.5 |
- Pick locked: Penn State at 79%.
- Market closed with Penn State at 79%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Wisconsin 24–20 Penn State. Wrong.
Fingerprint
6ffe505d66bd65b783fec3c2ac559474d36877cd81187c8e9f2a6c4454ac0d4a