The record · CFB
Florida Atlantic at North Texas: our pick
We called North Texas at 84%, locked Oct 29, 5:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Florida Atlantic 41–48 North Texas. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 84% is the betting market's own price for North Texas: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on North Texas: 3 right.
At 84%, a pick like this still loses about 16 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 29, 10:19 PM ET at Q3 6:27: North Texas 97% to win, called at 84%.
Call 84% Alert 97% at Q3 6:27Last live read 93% (Q4 1:40)
- Our calls right
- 75%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 4
- North Texas avg margin
- +18.5
Only 4 graded games on North Texas so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: North Texas's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| North Texas win chance | 84% | 84% |
- Pick locked: North Texas at 84%.
- Market closed with North Texas at 84%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q3 6:27: North Texas 97% to win, called at 84%.
- Final: Florida Atlantic 41–48 North Texas. Right.
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