The record · NBA
Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks: our pick
We called the Atlanta Hawks at 55%, locked Oct 28, 5:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Miami Heat 129–117 Atlanta Hawks. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for the Atlanta Hawks: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.3 points toward the Atlanta Hawks.
Our last 6 graded calls on the Atlanta Hawks: 3 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 55%Last live read 1% (5.2 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Atlanta Hawks avg margin
- +12.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Atlanta Hawks's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Hawks win chance | 55% | 57% |
| Atlanta Hawks spread | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Total | 241.5 | 242.5 |
- Pick locked: the Atlanta Hawks at 55%.
- Market closed with the Atlanta Hawks at 57%, 1.3 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Miami Heat 129–117 Atlanta Hawks. Wrong.
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