The record · NFL

New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks: our pick

We called the Seattle Seahawks at 63%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 8 days before kickoff.

Final: New England Patriots 10–13 Seattle Seahawks. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 63% is the betting market's own price for the Seattle Seahawks: 38 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 0.4 points away from the Seattle Seahawks.

We have no graded calls on the Seattle Seahawks yet.

At 63%, a pick like this still loses about 37 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Fingerprint

7685f73eb40e8b4bd153aad1a7cfda7ea0736d54af57e3783df910fca33085c5

Entry #181 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →