The record · NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals: our pick

We called the Cincinnati Bengals at 64%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 12 days before kickoff.

Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27–33 Cincinnati Bengals. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 64% is the betting market's own price for the Cincinnati Bengals: 34 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 0.3 points away from the Cincinnati Bengals, and the spread went from -3.5 to -4.5.

Our last 2 graded calls on the Cincinnati Bengals: 0 right.

At 64%, a pick like this still loses about 36 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

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Entry #258 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →