The record · NFL

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions: our pick

We called the Detroit Lions at 73%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 12 days before kickoff.

Final: New Orleans Saints 30–31 Detroit Lions. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 73% is the betting market's own price for the Detroit Lions: 33 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 0.1 points away from the Detroit Lions.

Our last 1 graded call on the Detroit Lions: 0 right.

At 73%, a pick like this still loses about 27 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Fingerprint

ac6e4903273dc4ceeb13229560da889c524e2a6fdf625a520f0e08644f277972

Entry #85 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →