The record · NFL

Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders: our pick

We called the Las Vegas Raiders at 63%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 12 days before kickoff.

Final: Miami Dolphins 13–27 Las Vegas Raiders. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 63% is the betting market's own price for the Las Vegas Raiders: 33 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

We have no graded calls on the Las Vegas Raiders yet.

At 63%, a pick like this still loses about 37 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Fingerprint

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Entry #288 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →