The record · NFL
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs: our pick
We called the Kansas City Chiefs at 56%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 13 days before kickoff.
Final: Denver Broncos 10–31 Kansas City Chiefs. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 56% is the betting market's own price for the Kansas City Chiefs: 33 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.3 points away from the Kansas City Chiefs, and the spread went from -2.5 to -3.5.
Our last 1 graded call on the Kansas City Chiefs: 1 right.
At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 1
- Kansas City Chiefs avg margin
- -1.0
Only 1 graded game on Kansas City Chiefs so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Kansas City Chiefs's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs win chance | 56% | 55% |
| Kansas City Chiefs spread | -2.5 | -3.5 |
| Total | 43 | 40.5 |
- Pick locked: the Kansas City Chiefs at 56%.
- Market closed with the Kansas City Chiefs at 55%, 1.3 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Denver Broncos 10–31 Kansas City Chiefs. Right.
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