The record · NFL
Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills: our pick
We called the Buffalo Bills at 59%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 16 days before kickoff.
Final: Detroit Lions 31–41 Buffalo Bills. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 59% is the betting market's own price for the Buffalo Bills: 15 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.5 points toward the Buffalo Bills, and the spread went from -3 to -2.5.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Buffalo Bills: 2 right.
At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Buffalo Bills avg margin
- +10.0
Only 3 graded games on Buffalo Bills so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Buffalo Bills's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills win chance | 59% | 61% |
| Buffalo Bills spread | -3 | -2.5 |
| Total | 52.5 | 52.5 |
- Pick locked: the Buffalo Bills at 59%.
- Market closed with the Buffalo Bills at 61%, 1.5 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Detroit Lions 31–41 Buffalo Bills. Right.
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