The record · NFL
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons: our pick
We called the Atlanta Falcons at 53%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 19 days before kickoff.
Final: Carolina Panthers 34–3 Atlanta Falcons. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Atlanta Falcons: 4 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 10.5 points away from the Atlanta Falcons.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Atlanta Falcons: 2 right.
At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Atlanta Falcons avg margin
- +8.7
Only 3 graded games on Atlanta Falcons so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Atlanta Falcons's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons win chance | 53% | 43% |
| Atlanta Falcons spread | -1.5 | — |
| Total | 43 | — |
- Pick locked: the Atlanta Falcons at 53%.
- Market closed with the Atlanta Falcons at 43%, 10.5 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Carolina Panthers 34–3 Atlanta Falcons. Wrong.
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