The record · NFL
Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots: our pick
We called the New England Patriots at 68%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 19 days before kickoff.
Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 3–20 New England Patriots. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 68% is the betting market's own price for the New England Patriots: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.5 points away from the New England Patriots, and the spread went from -4.5 to -3.5.
Our last 2 graded calls on the New England Patriots: 1 right.
At 68%, a pick like this still loses about 32 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 50%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 2
- New England Patriots avg margin
- 0.0
Only 2 graded games on New England Patriots so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: New England Patriots's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots win chance | 68% | 67% |
| New England Patriots spread | -4.5 | -3.5 |
| Total | 43.5 | 41.5 |
- Pick locked: the New England Patriots at 68%.
- Market closed with the New England Patriots at 67%, 0.5 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 3–20 New England Patriots. Right.
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