The record · NFL
Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos: our pick
We called the Denver Broncos at 58%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 19 days before kickoff.
Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 13–20 Denver Broncos. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 58% is the betting market's own price for the Denver Broncos: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.4 points away from the Denver Broncos, and the spread went from -2.5 to -1.5.
Our last 2 graded calls on the Denver Broncos: 2 right.
At 58%, a pick like this still loses about 42 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- Denver Broncos avg margin
- +3.5
Only 2 graded games on Denver Broncos so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Denver Broncos's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos win chance | 58% | 58% |
| Denver Broncos spread | -2.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 43.5 | 45.5 |
- Pick locked: the Denver Broncos at 58%.
- Market closed with the Denver Broncos at 58%, 0.4 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 13–20 Denver Broncos. Right.
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