The record · NFL

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers: our pick

We called the Los Angeles Chargers at 77%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 19 days before kickoff.

Final: Las Vegas Raiders 26–14 Los Angeles Chargers. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 77% is the betting market's own price for the Los Angeles Chargers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 5.0 points away from the Los Angeles Chargers.

Our last 2 graded calls on the Los Angeles Chargers: 0 right.

At 77%, a pick like this still loses about 23 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Fingerprint

f154fa44c45b9777ff71fdfb59ebcb1553dda59036f6ae0a48b9363c0b90bb01

Entry #227 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →