The record · NFL
Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys: our pick
We called the Dallas Cowboys at 64%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 19 days before kickoff.
Final: Washington Commanders 20–37 Dallas Cowboys. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 64% is the betting market's own price for the Dallas Cowboys: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.5 points toward the Dallas Cowboys.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Dallas Cowboys: 0 right.
At 64%, a pick like this still loses about 36 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 0%
- Calls graded
- 0 of 3
- Dallas Cowboys avg margin
- +3.3
Only 3 graded games on Dallas Cowboys so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Dallas Cowboys's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys win chance | 64% | 64% |
| Dallas Cowboys spread | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Total | 51.5 | 47.5 |
- Pick locked: the Dallas Cowboys at 64%.
- Market closed with the Dallas Cowboys at 64%, 0.5 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Washington Commanders 20–37 Dallas Cowboys. Right.
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