The record · NFL
Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs: our pick
We called the Kansas City Chiefs at 73%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 19 days before kickoff.
Final: Indianapolis Colts 30–33 Kansas City Chiefs. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 73% is the betting market's own price for the Kansas City Chiefs: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 2.1 points away from the Kansas City Chiefs, and the spread went from -7 to -5.5.
Our last 2 graded calls on the Kansas City Chiefs: 2 right.
At 73%, a pick like this still loses about 27 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- Kansas City Chiefs avg margin
- +10.0
Only 2 graded games on Kansas City Chiefs so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Kansas City Chiefs's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs win chance | 73% | 71% |
| Kansas City Chiefs spread | -7 | -5.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 46.5 |
- Pick locked: the Kansas City Chiefs at 73%.
- Market closed with the Kansas City Chiefs at 71%, 2.1 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Indianapolis Colts 30–33 Kansas City Chiefs. Right.
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