The record · NFL
Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers: our pick
We called the Green Bay Packers at 75%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 23 days before kickoff.
Final: Atlanta Falcons 35–14 Green Bay Packers. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 75% is the betting market's own price for the Green Bay Packers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 6.8 points away from the Green Bay Packers, and the spread went from -7.5 to -3.5.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Green Bay Packers: 3 right.
At 75%, a pick like this still loses about 25 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 3
- Green Bay Packers avg margin
- -3.3
Only 3 graded games on Green Bay Packers so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Green Bay Packers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers win chance | 75% | 68% |
| Green Bay Packers spread | -7.5 | -3.5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 42.5 |
- Pick locked: the Green Bay Packers at 75%.
- Market closed with the Green Bay Packers at 68%, 6.8 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Atlanta Falcons 35–14 Green Bay Packers. Wrong.
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