The record · NFL
Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills: our pick
We called the Buffalo Bills at 60%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 26 days before kickoff.
Final: Los Angeles Chargers 16–24 Buffalo Bills. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 60% is the betting market's own price for the Buffalo Bills: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 14.9 points toward the Buffalo Bills.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Buffalo Bills: 3 right.
At 60%, a pick like this still loses about 40 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 75%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 4
- Buffalo Bills avg margin
- +10.0
Only 4 graded games on Buffalo Bills so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Buffalo Bills's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills win chance | 60% | 75% |
| Buffalo Bills spread | -3 | — |
| Total | 48.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Buffalo Bills at 60%.
- Market closed with the Buffalo Bills at 75%, 14.9 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Los Angeles Chargers 16–24 Buffalo Bills. Right.
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