The record · NFL
New York Jets at Detroit Lions: our pick
We called the Detroit Lions at 79%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 26 days before kickoff.
Final: New York Jets 24–31 Detroit Lions. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 79% is the betting market's own price for the Detroit Lions: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 6.5 points away from the Detroit Lions.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Detroit Lions: 2 right.
At 79%, a pick like this still loses about 21 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Sep 27, 2:38 PM ET at Q3 10:56: Detroit Lions 95% to win, called at 79%.
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Detroit Lions avg margin
- 0.0
Only 3 graded games on Detroit Lions so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Detroit Lions's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions win chance | 79% | 72% |
| Detroit Lions spread | -10 | — |
| Total | 45.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Detroit Lions at 79%.
- Market closed with the Detroit Lions at 72%, 6.5 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q3 10:56: the Detroit Lions 95% to win, called at 79%.
- Final: New York Jets 24–31 Detroit Lions. Right.
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