The record · NFL
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers: our pick
We called the Cincinnati Bengals at 53%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 26 days before kickoff.
Final: Cincinnati Bengals 27–30 Pittsburgh Steelers. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Cincinnati Bengals: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 8.8 points toward the Cincinnati Bengals.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Cincinnati Bengals: 1 right.
At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 25%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 4
- Cincinnati Bengals avg margin
- +13.8
Only 4 graded games on Cincinnati Bengals so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Cincinnati Bengals's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals win chance | 53% | 61% |
| Cincinnati Bengals spread | -1.5 | — |
| Total | 45.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Cincinnati Bengals at 53%.
- Market closed with the Cincinnati Bengals at 61%, 8.8 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Cincinnati Bengals 27–30 Pittsburgh Steelers. Wrong.
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