The record · NFL
New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars: our pick
We called the Jacksonville Jaguars at 52%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 26 days before kickoff.
Final: New England Patriots 6–35 Jacksonville Jaguars. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 52% is the betting market's own price for the Jacksonville Jaguars: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 5.5 points toward the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Jacksonville Jaguars: 2 right.
At 52%, a pick like this still loses about 48 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Jacksonville Jaguars avg margin
- +12.0
Only 3 graded games on Jacksonville Jaguars so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Jacksonville Jaguars's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars win chance | 52% | 58% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 43.5 |
- Pick locked: the Jacksonville Jaguars at 52%.
- Market closed with the Jacksonville Jaguars at 58%, 5.5 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: New England Patriots 6–35 Jacksonville Jaguars. Right.
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