The record · NFL
Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: our pick
We called the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 55%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 26 days before kickoff.
Final: Minnesota Vikings 23–16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 7.2 points away from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 50%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 4
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers avg margin
- -7.0
Only 4 graded games on Tampa Bay Buccaneers so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Tampa Bay Buccaneers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers win chance | 55% | 47% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 44.5 | 42.5 |
- Pick locked: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 55%.
- Market closed with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 47%, 7.2 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Minnesota Vikings 23–16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Wrong.
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