The record · NFL
Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos: our pick
We called the Los Angeles Rams at 59%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 26 days before kickoff.
Final: Los Angeles Rams 26–30 Denver Broncos. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 59% is the betting market's own price for the Los Angeles Rams: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 4.4 points away from the Los Angeles Rams, and the spread went from -3 to +1.5.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Los Angeles Rams: 1 right.
At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Sep 27, 8:53 PM ET at Q1 4:55: Los Angeles Rams 78% to win, called at 59%.
- Our calls right
- 25%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 4
- Los Angeles Rams avg margin
- +9.5
Only 4 graded games on Los Angeles Rams so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Los Angeles Rams's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams win chance | 59% | 55% |
| Los Angeles Rams spread | -3 | +1.5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 41.5 |
- Pick locked: the Los Angeles Rams at 59%.
- Market closed with the Los Angeles Rams at 55%, 4.4 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 4:55: the Los Angeles Rams 78% to win, called at 59%.
- Final: Los Angeles Rams 26–30 Denver Broncos. Wrong.
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