The record · NFL
Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears: our pick
We called the Chicago Bears at 52%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 27 days before kickoff.
Final: Philadelphia Eagles 7–27 Chicago Bears. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 52% is the betting market's own price for the Chicago Bears: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 16.9 points away from the Chicago Bears.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Chicago Bears: 1 right.
At 52%, a pick like this still loses about 48 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Sep 28, 8:27 PM ET at Q1 8:47: Chicago Bears 73% to win, called at 52%.
- Our calls right
- 25%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 4
- Chicago Bears avg margin
- +1.8
Only 4 graded games on Chicago Bears so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Chicago Bears's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears win chance | 52% | 36% |
| Chicago Bears spread | -1.5 | — |
| Total | 46.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Chicago Bears at 52%.
- Market closed with the Chicago Bears at 36%, 16.9 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 8:47: the Chicago Bears 73% to win, called at 52%.
- Final: Philadelphia Eagles 7–27 Chicago Bears. Right.
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