The record · NFL
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: our pick
We called the Pittsburgh Steelers at 57%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 30 days before kickoff.
Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 24–27 Cleveland Browns. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for the Pittsburgh Steelers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.2 points away from the Pittsburgh Steelers, and the spread went from -2.5 to +1.5.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Pittsburgh Steelers: 3 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 1, 8:54 PM ET at Q1 1:21: Pittsburgh Steelers 77% to win, called at 57%.
- Our calls right
- 75%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 4
- Pittsburgh Steelers avg margin
- -2.0
Only 4 graded games on Pittsburgh Steelers so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Pittsburgh Steelers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers win chance | 57% | 57% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers spread | -2.5 | +1.5 |
| Total | 38.5 | 37.5 |
- Pick locked: the Pittsburgh Steelers at 57%.
- Market closed with the Pittsburgh Steelers at 57%, 0.2 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 1:21: the Pittsburgh Steelers 77% to win, called at 57%.
- Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 24–27 Cleveland Browns. Wrong.
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