The record · NFL
New York Jets at Chicago Bears: our pick
We called the Chicago Bears at 77%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 33 days before kickoff.
Final: New York Jets 12–23 Chicago Bears. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 77% is the betting market's own price for the Chicago Bears: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 15.4 points away from the Chicago Bears, and the spread went from -9 to -3.5.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Chicago Bears: 2 right.
At 77%, a pick like this still loses about 23 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 4, 1:43 PM ET at Q1 0:23: Chicago Bears 88% to win, called at 77%.
- Our calls right
- 40%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 5
- Chicago Bears avg margin
- +5.4
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Chicago Bears's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears win chance | 77% | 62% |
| Chicago Bears spread | -9 | -3.5 |
| Total | 44.5 | 42.5 |
- Pick locked: the Chicago Bears at 77%.
- Market closed with the Chicago Bears at 62%, 15.4 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 0:23: the Chicago Bears 88% to win, called at 77%.
- Final: New York Jets 12–23 Chicago Bears. Right.
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