The record · NFL
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals: our pick
We called the Cincinnati Bengals at 57%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 33 days before kickoff.
Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 22–17 Cincinnati Bengals. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for the Cincinnati Bengals: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.4 points away from the Cincinnati Bengals, and the spread went from -2.5 to -1.5.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Cincinnati Bengals: 1 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 20%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 5
- Cincinnati Bengals avg margin
- +10.4
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Cincinnati Bengals's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals win chance | 57% | 57% |
| Cincinnati Bengals spread | -2.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 51.5 | 51.5 |
- Pick locked: the Cincinnati Bengals at 57%.
- Market closed with the Cincinnati Bengals at 57%, 0.4 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 22–17 Cincinnati Bengals. Wrong.
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