The record · NFL
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: our pick
We called the Green Bay Packers at 52%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 33 days before kickoff.
Final: Green Bay Packers 17–14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 52% is the betting market's own price for the Green Bay Packers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 8.1 points toward the Green Bay Packers.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Green Bay Packers: 3 right.
At 52%, a pick like this still loses about 48 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 4, 1:43 PM ET at Q2 12:54: Green Bay Packers 74% to win, called at 52%.
- Our calls right
- 75%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 4
- Green Bay Packers avg margin
- -7.8
Only 4 graded games on Green Bay Packers so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Green Bay Packers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers win chance | 52% | 60% |
| Green Bay Packers spread | -1.5 | — |
| Total | 47.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Green Bay Packers at 52%.
- Market closed with the Green Bay Packers at 60%, 8.1 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 12:54: the Green Bay Packers 74% to win, called at 52%.
- Final: Green Bay Packers 17–14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Right.
Fingerprint
1d149ede180fde4a5ab5f139392e3809d1a0a39e093c18d9fe0ea351eccafae2