The record · NFL
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens: our pick
We called the Baltimore Ravens at 77%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 33 days before kickoff.
Final: Tennessee Titans 18–24 Baltimore Ravens. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 77% is the betting market's own price for the Baltimore Ravens: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 6.8 points toward the Baltimore Ravens.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Baltimore Ravens: 3 right.
At 77%, a pick like this still loses about 23 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 4, 1:13 PM ET at Q1 12:09: Baltimore Ravens 88% to win, called at 77%.
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Baltimore Ravens avg margin
- +12.4
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Baltimore Ravens's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens win chance | 77% | 84% |
| Baltimore Ravens spread | -8.5 | -8.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 42.5 |
- Pick locked: the Baltimore Ravens at 77%.
- Market closed with the Baltimore Ravens at 84%, 6.8 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 12:09: the Baltimore Ravens 88% to win, called at 77%.
- Final: Tennessee Titans 18–24 Baltimore Ravens. Right.
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