The record · NFL
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings: our pick
We called the Minnesota Vikings at 76%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 33 days before kickoff.
Final: Miami Dolphins 10–15 Minnesota Vikings. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 76% is the betting market's own price for the Minnesota Vikings: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 5.1 points toward the Minnesota Vikings.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Minnesota Vikings: 2 right.
At 76%, a pick like this still loses about 24 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 4, 5:10 PM ET at Q2 7:08: Minnesota Vikings 87% to win, called at 76%.
- Our calls right
- 40%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 5
- Minnesota Vikings avg margin
- -1.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Minnesota Vikings's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Vikings win chance | 76% | 81% |
| Minnesota Vikings spread | -7.5 | — |
| Total | 43.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Minnesota Vikings at 76%.
- Market closed with the Minnesota Vikings at 81%, 5.1 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 7:08: the Minnesota Vikings 87% to win, called at 76%.
- Final: Miami Dolphins 10–15 Minnesota Vikings. Right.
Fingerprint
24700a01855f4ddf893f65473ee992f1f18f84598ea8c9cb768a8ef19e4a97d4